-Stocks to Watch: HDFC twins, Indigo, Glenmark, Hero Moto, NMDC

Madhumita Sen Choudhury
The government may fail to meet its asset-sales target again as a combination of reasons, including poor market sentiments and legal challenges, has delayed planned disinvestments of companies like Shipping Corp, BEML NMDC Ltd’s Nagarnar plant, Central Electronics, Pawan Hans, and Concor
HDFC Bank/HDFC: The bank and its parent iinched closer to the merger process as stock exchanges give thumbs up to their amalgamation scheme. Both HDFC Bank and HDFC have received ‘no adverse observations’ from BSE and a ‘no objection’ from the National Stock Exchange.
Interglobe Aviation: Fifty-five per cent of IndiGo’s domestic flights were delayed on Saturday as a significant number of cabin crew members took sick leave. Aviation regulator DGCA said it is looking into this.

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals: The US FDA has issued Form 483 with one observation after an inspection at the company’s formulation manufacturing facility based out of Aurangabad, India between June 27 and July 1. The company said it is committed to undertaking all necessary steps required to address their observation at the earliest and added it is committed to maintaining the highest quality manufacturing standards at all of its facilities across the globe.
Maruti Suzuki: Betting big on green technologies, the auto major plans to have strong hybrid technology across its model range in the next 5-7 years, as per a senior company official. The auto major aims to have strong and mild hybrid technologies as part of an initiative to have environment-friendly technology elements in each of its models, enabling better fuel efficiency and reduced carbon footprint.

NMDC: The state-owned has registered a fall of about 14 per cent in its iron ore production at 2.57 million tonnes (MT) during June 2022. In June last year, it had produced 2.98 MT iron ore, NMDC said in a BSE filing. Last month the company also saw its sales falling to 1.90 MT, from 3.18 MT in June 2021, a year-on-year (y-o-y) fall of 40 per cent.
Hero MotoCorp: The country’s largest two-wheeler maker reported a 3% increase in total sales at 4,84,867 units in June. In the domestic market, sales rose to 4,63,210 units last month from 4,38,514 units in June. Exports last month stood at 21,657 units as against 30,646 units in the year-ago period.

NTPC: With an aim to achieve the target of 60 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2032, NTPC signed a memorandum of understanding with the Government of Rajasthan for the development of 10 GW Ultra Mega Renewable Energy Power Park in Rajasthan.
Vedanta: The Group expects its semiconductor business turnover to be in the range of $3-$3.5 billion out of which around $1 billion will come from exports, Vedanta Group’s global managing director of display and semiconductor business Akarsh Hebbar told PTI, adding that its JV partner Foxconn has all the agreements and required technologies in place to start making electronic chips.
Coal India: The world’s biggest producer of the fossil fuel, posted record production in the June quarter as it sought to meet strong demand from power plants amid an unprecedented heatwave. The state-run miner produced 159.8 million tonnes (MTs) of coal in the three months ended June, a nearly 29% rise from the 124 MTs produced a year earlier. All units of CIL recorded higher production in Q1.

Ashoka Buildcon: The company’s joint venture with Cube Construction Engineering Limited has emerged as the lowest bidder for the construction and maintenance of Rajiv Gandhi Fintech Digital Institute, Jodhpur. The awarded bid project cost is Rs.611 crore.

-Trade setup for July 4, 2022: Key things to know before stock market’s Opening Bell
Indian stock markets managed to claw back losses on Friday, led by gains in financial stocks. Government export duties on oil products had triggered a plunge in energy majors Reliance Industries and ONGC. The NSE Nifty 50 index on Friday ended 0.18% lower at 15,752 while BSE Sensex slipped to 52,907 but managed to close the week marginally.
On Friday, stocks made a strong intraday recovery to finish higher but the rebound was not enough to erase their losses for the week. The S&P 500 rose 1.1%, snapping a four-day losing streak for the benchmark index, which still posted its fourth losing week in the last five. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.9%.
SGX Nifty outlook

SGX Nifty today is down by over 20 points and it is trading around 15,720 levels.

“Immediate support placed for SGX Nifty is at 15,520 whereas major support for SGX Nifty is placed at 15,340 mark. On the upper side, immediate hurdle placed for SGX Nifty is 15,980 while strong resistance for SGX Nifty today is 16,150 mark,” said Anuj Gupta, Vice President — Research at IIFL Securities. The IIFL Securities expert said that SGX Nifty is expected to remain sideways today.

Asian markets’ early trends
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In early morning deals, Asian stocks are trading flat. Japanese Nikkei is up around 0.59 per cent at 26,089, Hang Seng is down 0.80 per cent at 21,452, China’s Shanghai is up by 0.30 per cent at 14938 whereas South Korean KSPI is down 0.32 per cent at 2,284 levels.
Key factors to watch this week

Global trends, crude oil movement, rupee’s performance and FII activity may keep Nifty volatile this week ahead of the start of the quarterly earnings season, say analysts. IT major TCS would announce its quarterly numbers on July 8, kicking off the earnings season.

There is selling exhaustion at lower levels as market is bouncing back from every intra-day dip amid headwinds like fall in global markets, rupee weakness, and windfall tax on domestic refineries.

On the global front, US jobs numbers and the minutes of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) last meeting will also be closely watched.

Sectors in Focus

“Among the sectors, we expect auto and FMCG to continue the prevailing momentum while other sectors may selective pitch in as well. Participants should maintain their focus on identifying stock-specific opportunities but keep a check on leveraged trades,” said Ajit Mishra, VP - Research, Religare Broking.
FII Activity

On Friday, FIIs sold Indian equities worth ₹2,324 crore on a net basis while DIIs bought worth ₹1,310 crore. So far in 2022, FIIs have sold Indian equities worth more than ₹2 lakh crore, weighing both on Indian markets and rupee.

“FIIs are still selling but the momentum has come down significantly. Therefore, bulls will look for a relief rally if global markets remain stable,” said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd.

Nifty Technical Outlook

“Technically, Nifty is respecting the 15700-15500 zone beautifully. However, 20-DMA is acting as a strong hurdle in the upside which is currently placed at 15827 level; above this, we can expect a short-covering rally towards 16050/16200 levels. The bulls will have the upper hand till the Nifty trades above the 15500 level while below 15500, the weakness may again resume towards 15350/15180 levels,” Mr Meena said.
Ajit Mishra, VP - Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said: “The recent consolidation in the index indicates caution among the participants and the Nifty needs a decisive break above 15,900 levels to extend the rebound towards the 16,200 zone else the sideways to negative bias will continue. On the downside, the 15,100-15,350 zone would act as a support.”

Nifty Bank Technical Outlook

On Friday, the banking sector index closed 0.35% higher at 33,539. “Bank Nifty is respecting 33000 level. However 20-DMA is acting as a strong hurdle which is currently placed at 33700 level; above this, we can expect a short-covering rally towards 34150/34500 levels while if it slips below 33000 level then 32500 is the next critical support level,” said Santosh Meena of Swastika Investmart Ltd.
Derivatives Data

“If we talk about the derivative data then the long exposure of FIIs in the index future stands at 16% and the put-call ratio is sitting at 1.14 level therefore there is good scope for a short-covering rally,” Meena said.

On stocks front, “we witnessed long rollovers in M&M, ITC, Hero MotoCorp, Ashok Leyland, BEL, Eicher Motors, MCX, Siemens, Cummins India etc. While stocks like Kotak Bank, Deepak Nitrite, Biocon, PEL etc. had short rollovers,” Kotak Securities said on June rollover data.

US bond yield

“US 10 years bond yield is up by 0.25 per cent at 119.56 whereas US 30 years bond yield is up by 0.27 per cent at 139.72,” said Anuj Gupta. He said that US bond yield is in positive territory and it may continue to attract investors ahead of the US Fed meeting scheduled this week.
Outlook for crude oil price

“Oil price today fell in early morning Asian trade on fears of global recession and lower OPED output. In global commodity markets, crude oil is in the broader range of $107.70 per barrel to $113 per barrel and overall trend for crude oil is negative,” said Anuj Gupta.